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From Cosmos to Chaos: The Science of Unpredictability
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Type.................: Ebook
Part Size............: 2,481,148 bytes




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Posted by............: ~tqw~

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Cosmology has undergone a revolution in recent years. The exciting interplay
between astronomy and fundamental physics has led to dramatic revelations,
including the existence of the dark matter and the dark energy that appear to
dominate our cosmos. But these discoveries only reveal themselves through small
effects in noisy experimental data. Dealing with such observations requires the
careful application of probability and statistics.

But it is not only in the arcane world of fundamental physics that probability
theory plays such an important role. It has an impact in many aspects of our
everyday life, from the law courts to the lottery.

Why then do so few people understand probability? And why do so few people
understand why it is so important for science? Why do so many people think that
science is about absolute certainty when, at its core, it is actually dominated
by uncertainty?

This book attempts to explain the basics of probability theory, and illustrate
their application across the entire spectrum of science.

Table of Contents

1 Probable nature 1
2 The logic of uncertainty 7
3 Lies, damned lies, and astronomy 31
4 Bayesians versus frequentists 48
5 Randomness 71
6 From engines to entropy 95
7 Quantum roulette 115
8 Believing the big bang 138
9 Cosmos and its discontents 161
10 Life, the universe and everything 180
11 Summing up 199

Product Details

* ISBN: 0198567626
* ISBN-13: 9780198567622
* Format: Hardcover, 288pp
* Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
* Pub. Date: July 2006

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